Allen Lazard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Allen Lazard has gone out for fewer passes this season (94.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.3%).
Allen Lazard's receiving performance has improved this year, compiling 4.2 yards per game compared to just 2.8 last year.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (68.1%) versus wideouts this year (68.1%).

Favors Under

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.9% to 63.3%.
The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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