Allen Lazard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Allen Lazard has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (91.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (78.2%).
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Allen Lazard's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.2 yards per game vs a mere 2.8 last year.
The Detroit Lions cornerbacks profile as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Allen Lazard's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.5% to 63.6%.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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