Allen Lazard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+142/-192).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -171 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -192.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Allen Lazard has gone out for fewer passes this year (95.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.2%).
THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to garner 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among WRs.
The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Allen Lazard's receiving skills have improved this season, accumulating 4.1 yards per game vs a mere 2.8 last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
Allen Lazard's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.5% to 61.9%.
The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks project as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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