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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Allen Lazard has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (95.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.2%).

THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Allen Lazard's receiving performance has gotten better this year, totaling 4.3 yards per game compared to a measly 2.8 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.5% to 63.5%.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB just 2.44 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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