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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.0 (-160/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.0 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to notch 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.

Allen Lazard's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 28.8.

The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Allen Lazard's pass-catching performance been refined this season, averaging 4.4 yards per game compared to just 2.8 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Allen Lazard's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 61.4%.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in football (57.8%) to wide receivers this year (57.8%).

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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