Allen Lazard Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 18, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+136/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
Allen Lazard has been used less as a potential target this season (89.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to total 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Allen Lazard's receiving performance has improved this season, notching 4.3 yards per game compared to a measly 2.8 last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 63.8%.
The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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