Allen Lazard Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving TD

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-300).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Allen Lazard has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Allen Lazard has put up significantly more air yards this season (96.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
Allen Lazard's 56.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 27.7.
The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Allen Lazard grades out in the 92nd percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.5% to 62.2%.

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