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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

Alexander Mattison Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+550/-1100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year at blocking for the run game.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most touchdowns in the league (1.40 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have been the 6th-least run-centric offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 32.7% red zone run rate.

The Miami Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Minnesota Vikings have been faced with a stacked the box on 20.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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