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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 5th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Vikings are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

Alexander Mattison has run more routes this year (50.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (22.0%).

The leading projections forecast Alexander Mattison to total 3.5 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 56.1 plays per game.

Alexander Mattison's 69.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a substantial decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 83.9% rate.

More Alexander Mattison Player Props

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