Alexander Mattison Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Alexander Mattison

NFL · Player Props

Alexander Mattison

RB · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the projection model to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
Alexander Mattison's 50.6% Route Participation% this year indicates a a noteable progression in his air attack utilization over last year's 22.0% mark.
In this contest, Alexander Mattison is anticipated by the model to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.1 targets.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
The Vikings have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
Alexander Mattison's 74.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a a substantial reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 83.9% rate.

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