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Alexander Mattison

Alexander Mattison Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

Alexander Mattison Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.62 seconds per snap.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (83%) versus RBs this year (83.0%).

The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

Alexander Mattison's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 83.6% to 74.4%.

The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Minnesota Vikings have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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