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Alex Erickson

Alex Erickson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Alex Erickson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a measly 1.0 adjusted receptions per game (20th percentile) this year, Alex Erickson stands among the bottom pass-catching WRs in football.

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