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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

With a top-tier 92.8% Route Participation% (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Alec Pierce stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Alec Pierce's 65.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year illustrates a meaningful gain in his receiving skills over last year's 50.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 54.2% pass rate.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a measly 48.0 per game on average).

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