My Account Log Out
 
 
Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
  • Alec Pierce has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (92.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (73.2%).
  • The Indianapolis O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, completing just 55.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among wide receivers
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.8%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™