Alec Pierce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
Alec Pierce has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (92.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (73.2%).
The Indianapolis O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, completing just 55.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among wide receivers
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.8%).

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