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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).

Alec Pierce's 92.3% Route Participation Rate this year represents a material gain in his pass attack volume over last year's 73.2% figure.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

This year, the weak Tennessee Titans pass defense has been torched for a colossal 73.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, catching just 55.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 8th percentile among wide receivers

More Alec Pierce Player Props

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