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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-174).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Colts to call the 4th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Alec Pierce has been used less as a potential target this year (91.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (73.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.2% pass rate.

Alec Pierce has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching just 54.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among WRs

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