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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-157/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (72.7%) vs. WRs this year (72.7%).

The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks project as the 5th-worst group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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