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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-113/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 8th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line has afforded their QB 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts have utilized play action on 33.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 58.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (63.5%) to wideouts this year (63.5%).

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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