Alec Pierce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 7, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-191/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -191.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Alec Pierce has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing just 52.2% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 13th percentile among wide receivers
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (59.9%) to wide receivers this year (59.9%).
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.