Alec Pierce Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a massive 10.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a mere 52.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 4th percentile among wideouts
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) vs. WRs this year (64.4%).
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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