|
|
Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (37.1 per game) since the start of last season.With an exceptional 93.6% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Alec Pierce has been among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.When talking about air yards, Alec Pierce ranks in the lofty 77th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, accumulating a massive 68.0 per game.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.Alec Pierce profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, completing just 53.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 4th percentile among WRsAlec Pierce comes in as one of the worst wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 19th percentile.Since the start of last season, the tough Chicago Bears defense has surrendered a paltry 132.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-fewest in football.The Bears pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
