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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Colts have run the 10th-most plays in football last year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

With a remarkable 94.3% Route Participation% (95th percentile) last year, Alec Pierce ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.

Alec Pierce has received a whopping 24.4% of his offense's air yards last year: 78th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

With a weak 50.7% Adjusted Catch% (2nd percentile) last year, Alec Pierce ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.

Alec Pierce grades out as one of the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging just 6.99 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 14th percentile among WRs

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston's CB corps has been outstanding last year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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