Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
Alec Pierce has totaled a colossal 69.0 air yards per game this year: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
Alec Pierce has been among the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 53.0 yards per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the league (209.0) versus wide receivers this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the bottom wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.