Alec Pierce Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Alec Pierce

NFL · Player Props

Alec Pierce

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 6, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Alec Pierce Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Alec Pierce has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a stellar 9.88 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Alec Pierce has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, completing just 52.2% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 13th percentile among wide receivers
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the least receiving yards per game in the league (just 110.0) to wideouts this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (59.9%) to wide receivers this year (59.9%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 6.27 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.

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