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Alec Pierce

Alec Pierce Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Alec Pierce Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+331/-622).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +348 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +331.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Alec Pierce has been responsible for a monstrous 28.0% of his team's air yards this year: 83rd percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Alec Pierce has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 58.2% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 13th percentile among wide receivers

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) to WRs this year (58.4%).

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 7th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.67 per game this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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