Albert Okwuegbunam Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Albert Okwuegbunam

NFL · Player Props

Albert Okwuegbunam

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving TD

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Albert Okwuegbunam Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+294/-516).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -458 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -516.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Albert Okwuegbunam to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (16.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.2% in games he has played).
Albert Okwuegbunam's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 81.7% to 100.0%.
The Houston Texans defense has given up the 8th-most TDs through the air in football to TEs: 0.44 per game since the start of last season.
The Houston Texans safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Denver Broncos O-line has afforded their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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