A.J. Green Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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A.J. Green

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Green

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Green Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
A.J. Green has run a route on 82.8% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.8%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.8%).

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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