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A.J. Green

A.J. Green Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

A.J. Green Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

  • A.J. Green has been a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this season (8.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (16.7%).
  • A.J. Green's play as a receiver has declined this season, accumulating a mere 1.9 yards per game vs 3.1 last season.
  • A.J. Green's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 57.1% to 52.3%.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.8%) vs. wideouts this year (64.8%).
  • The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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