A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
A.J. Dillon has earned 44.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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