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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+110/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • A.J. Dillon has earned 44.6% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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