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A.J. Dillon
NFL · Player Props
A.J. Dillon
RB · Green Bay Packers
Rushing Yards
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST
NFL Props A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards

A.J. Dillon Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • A.J. Dillon has earned 47.4% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • A.J. Dillon has grinded out 46.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (78th percentile).
  • A.J. Dillon has been among the best RBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.18 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 78th percentile.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 35.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
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