A.J. Dillon Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Dillon

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Dillon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-188).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -188.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
A.J. Dillon has run a route on 44.4% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year.
A.J. Dillon's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 71.2% to 75.4%.

Favors Under

With regard to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.46 seconds per play, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 9th-slowest in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (64.8%) vs. running backs this year (64.8%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More A.J. Dillon Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow