My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

A.J. Dillon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

A.J. Dillon has been used more as a potential target this season (41.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (30.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A.J. Dillon's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.2% to 73.2%.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

More A.J. Dillon Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™