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A.J. Dillon

A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
A.J. Dillon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A.J. Dillon's 82.2% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a noteable growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 71.3% mark.
  • A.J. Dillon's receiving effectiveness has been refined this season, compiling 7.78 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.33 rate last season.
  • A.J. Dillon's 10.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year conveys a noteable progression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 7.6% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to pass on 57.2% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
  • This year, the daunting New York Giants defense has given up a puny 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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