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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's game, A.J. Brown is expected by the model to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.8 targets.

With an elite 31.8% Target Share (99th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown stands among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the league.

With a stellar 6.1 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown places among the leading pass-catching WRs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

A.J. Brown's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 69.7% to 60.8%.

The Giants linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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