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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 131.8 total plays called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a colossal 60.5 per game on average).

The projections expect A.J. Brown to accrue 9.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With a top-tier 31.5% Target Share (99th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown places as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in football.

With an exceptional 6.1 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) since the start of last season, A.J. Brown stands among the top WRs in the NFL in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.6 per game) this year.

The Browns pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (57.1%) vs. WRs this year (57.1%).

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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