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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The model projects A.J. Brown to notch 10.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

A.J. Brown places in the 99th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 77.9 figure since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.6%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (61.6%).

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