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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to total 8.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.

A.J. Brown's 78.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 70.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.

The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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