A.J. Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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A.J. Brown

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Brown

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles will be forced to start backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.

Favors Under

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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