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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -118.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to earn 7.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
  • A.J. Brown's 70.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for WRs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • A.J. Brown has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.8 receptions per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.

  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.

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