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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The Eagles have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 59.7 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.6 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast A.J. Brown to notch 10.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 56.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league has been the Philadelphia Eagles.
  • The projections expect the Eagles to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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