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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 79.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

The model projects A.J. Brown to notch 10.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

A.J. Brown has accrued a massive 116.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile when it comes to WRs.

A.J. Brown places in the 99th percentile when it comes to WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 77.9 figure since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The Falcons defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 117.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.83 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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