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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This week, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 91st percentile among WRs with 8.4 targets.

With a remarkable 31.7% Target% (99th percentile) this year, A.J. Brown has been among the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

A.J. Brown has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (96.0 per game) than he did last year (116.0 per game).

A.J. Brown's 76.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a meaningful decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 86.0 mark.

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