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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Eagles offense to be the fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per snap.
  • The predictive model expects A.J. Brown to accumulate 9.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
  • A.J. Brown has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 31.4% last year, which puts him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • When it comes to air yards, A.J. Brown grades out in the lofty 97th percentile among wide receivers last year, averaging a monstrous 116.0 per game.
  • The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the league last year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Packers, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.8 per game) last year.
  • When it comes to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Green Bay's unit has been phenomenal last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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