A.J. Brown Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

A.J. Brown

NFL · Player Props

A.J. Brown

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (+100/-126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
A.J. Brown has been less involved as a potential target this season (93.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (77.9%).
THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to notch 7.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
A.J. Brown has accrued a whopping 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wide receivers.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

More A.J. Brown Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow