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A.J. Brown
NFL · Player Props
A.J. Brown
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
Receiving Yards
Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022 Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC
NFL Props A.J. Brown Receiving Yards

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
  • A.J. Brown has run fewer routes this year (92.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (78.7%).
  • THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to garner 8.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
Favors Under
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the 10th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 143.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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