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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

A.J. Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-210).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

A.J. Brown has put up a colossal 95.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects A.J. Brown to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (28.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (35.0% in games he has played).

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.6%).

The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season.

More A.J. Brown Player Props

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