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Aidan O'Connell

Aidan O'Connell TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Aidan O'Connell TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-260/+195).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +195.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (52.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Raiders.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 62.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

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