Aidan O'Connell Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Aidan O'Connell

NFL · Player Props

Aidan O'Connell

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Passing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Aidan O'Connell Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 227.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 227.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 227.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers project as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Raiders to run the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Raiders have called the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest clip in the league vs. the Chargers defense since the start of last season (68.0%).
The Chargers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.

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