Adam Trautman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Adam Trautman has been less involved as a potential target this season (72.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (28.5%).
The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (75.6%) versus TEs since the start of last season (75.6%).
The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Adam Trautman's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 80.6% to 61.7%.

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