Adam Trautman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Adam Trautman

NFL · Player Props

Adam Trautman

TE · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Adam Trautman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Adam Trautman's 69.4% Route Participation% this year reflects a significant improvement in his pass attack utilization over last year's 28.5% mark.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
Adam Trautman's 66.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a material reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 80.6% rate.

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